H2-Today WeeklyWeek 34 · 11–17 August 2026 · compiled 17 Aug 2026
The consolidation phase widened from OEMs to projects. Germany lost a second major pre-FID hub — HySCALE100 at Raffinerie Heide (2.1 GW, ~€900m planned funding) cancelled 12–14 August — while thyssenkrupp nucera's green-hydrogen order intake collapsed to ~€3m for the quarter and the company exited in-house SOEC development, joining Topsoe in retreat. A new EIC finding: fewer than 10% of Europe's 2030-target projects have reached FID. Input costs moved sharply for reasons outside hydrogen — TTF gas +98% y/y on the Strait of Hormuz blockade, German power spiking to €461/MWh on a heatwave-plus-solar-eclipse combination on 12 Aug. On water, the German UVP-Portal yielded its first document in three editions.

1 Production and pipeline

Global figures unchanged this week; the new item is a hard European number behind the standing "2027 cliff" narrative.

Total global H2 demand
>100 Mt/yr
+3% in 2025 · unchanged
Low-emissions H2 production
~1 Mt/yr
just over 1% of total · unchanged
Installed electrolysis
4 GW
doubled in 2025 · unchanged
Europe 2030-target projects at FID
<10%
NEW · EIC, ~13 Aug 2026 · reported, not verified
No new FIDs found anywhere globally this week. Subtractive moves dominated: HySCALE100 cancelled (Germany, §4); a second Puertollano-area project (Repsol/Hydric Power) cancelled 14 Jul; two Australian federal hubs reported axed on a single political source — unconfirmed by a neutral outlet, treat cautiously. Counter-signal: NEOM construction "essentially finished," commissioning underway, green ammonia targeted 2027.

2 Prices and costs

Gas and power both jumped sharply this week — but the driver is the Strait of Hormuz blockade and a heatwave/eclipse combination, not a hydrogen-market signal.

TTF natural gas
€61.42/MWh
+98% y/y · 14 Aug · +10.6% WoW
German day-ahead power
€132.39/MWh
11–16 Aug mean · +22.1% WoW
Spanish OMIE power
€132.5/MWh
11–17 Aug mean · +4.6% WoW
EU ETS carbon
€81.79/t
NEW retrieval · 14 Aug · flat, +0.5%
Input cost drivers — week-on-week move
% change vs W33 baseline. German power's spike includes a 12 Aug eclipse-driven event to €461/MWh at peak, not shown at scale here.

LCOH by route — unrevalidated for a third week

Green hydrogen production cost by country
Platts PPA-derived alkaline, 2 Oct 2025 — €/kg. No 2026 update found from any index this week.

European Hydrogen Bank — auction budgets by round

Awarded / budgeted per round
€ million. Auction 4 (IF26) terms confirmed: €500m total, €4.00/kg ceiling, ≥75% non-Chinese electrolyser content, categorical non-Chinese stack origin. Public consultation webinar 8 Sep 2026.
HYDRIX, Hydex, Platts and Argus indices: still COULD NOT RETRIEVE, third consecutive edition — values sit behind the EEX Market Data Hub and paywalls. Ammonia spot: no current-week print found; June 2026 figures (Germany $828/MT) are stale background only.

3 Spain and the EU

PNIEC 2030 target 12 GW · FID-backed today ~535 MW (4.5%) · unchanged this week. Onuba's groundbreaking date is now confirmed in writing; Carteia's water position remains the most exposed in the set.

ProjectOperatorLocationMWt/yrInvestmentStatusWater
OnubaMoeve (51%) / Masdar / EnalterPalos de la Frontera, Huelva300 (+105 opt.)45,000>€1,000m✓ confirmed Groundbreaking 17 Sep 2026, now written not just call-transcript②⑤ 2.9M+0.59M m³/yr
CarteiaMoeveSan Roque, Cádiz1,000600,000 NH₃€3,067m⚠ pending BOJA 143/2026 alleg. window into late Aug — unverified this week② a precario → ⑤ NOT DISCLOSED
CartagenaRepsolMurcia10015,000>€330mDIA favourable, now dated 7 Jul 2026④ 332,000 m³/yr — cross-confirmed
Bilbao/PetronorRepsolBasque Country10015,000€292mFID · operational 2029⑧
ATLASRepsolArteixo, A Coruña5060,634/10yr€133.4mAwarded · €2.20/kg strike⑧
P-HYNETRepsolPuertollano12.2722,130/10yr€49.8mAwarded · €2.25/kg strike⑧
Repsol/Hydric PowerRepsolPuertollano———✕ cancelled 14 Jul sub-€15/MWh power neededn/a
H2 La JoyaSiroco Hydrogen 2 (Avalon)Antequera, Málaga25047,500 e-SAF€1,200mContested, AAI pending, no movement⑤ 432,432 m³/yr
Proyecto CatalinaEnagás/Técnicas Reunidas/CIPAragón500→2,000—>€2,100mNEW FEED started, FID late 2027/28—
Piedra Energía 2—Los Barrios, Cádizn/d——Dedicated desal applicant, re-confirmed⑥ 3,000,000 m³/yr
EU: no infringement proceedings opened on Gas & Hydrogen Package transposition this week (deadline passed 5–6 Aug). Spain's own transposition remains unpublished, six months after announcement. RFNBO delegated act review re-confirmed slipping to autumn 2026.

4 Germany

10 GW 2030 target · 1.5 GW secured (EWI Q2/2026, unchanged) · ~1.9% installed. The pipeline lost a second major hub this week.

2030 target
10 GW
National Hydrogen Strategy
Secured by 2030
1.5 GW
EWI Q2/2026 · unchanged
Installed today
181–193 MW
EWI/dena · ~1.9% of target
HySCALE100
Cancelled
NEW · 2.1 GW, ~€900m forfeited, 12–14 Aug
ProjectOperatorLocationMWt/yrStatusWater
GET H2 NukleusRWELingen, NDS~100 live → 300 (2027)49,000Unchanged this week② Ems, 1.2M m³/yr, wet
REFHYNE I / IIShellWesseling, NRW10 / 100~1,300 / 16,000Operating / building, COD 2027⑧
Lingen Green HydrogenbpLingen, NDS100≤11,000Building, on schedule⑧
Leuna PEM (+5MW expansion)LindeLeuna, S-A24 (+5)~3,200NEW UVP filing for expansion located⑧ filing found, vol. pending
SALCOSSalzgitterSalzgitter, NDS1009,000Commissioning, "ab 2027"⑧
tkH2SteelthyssenkruppDuisburg-Walsum—needs ~145,000Tender still paused⑧
Clean Hydrogen CoastlineEWEEmden, NDS320—Building, online end-2027④ municipal, DRY cooling
Bad LauchstädtVNGS-A30~2,500–3,000Ramp-up not confirmed⑧ UVP-Vorprüfung located, unfetched
Lubmin clusterPtX/KGAL et al.M-V1.7GW+ (>4GW ann.)160,000No FID — blocked on RED III⑧
HydroHub FenneIqonyVölklingen, Saar538,200✕ cancelled Nov 2025n/a
HySCALE100Raffinerie Heide et al.Heide, S-Hup to 2,100—✕ CANCELLED 12–14 Aug 2026 ~€900m forfeitedn/a
Kernnetz: "just under 6 GW" paid capacity reservations (23 Jul data) re-confirmed via a second source, no newer figure. Klimaschutzverträge round 2 closes 7 Sep 2026, no results yet. New: LANXESS fires an industrial dryer with byproduct hydrogen (11 Aug, not new electrolysis); RVK Mechernich begins building a small public refuelling+production site, targeted end-2026.

5 Hydrogen refuelling network

A third consecutive edition has failed to retrieve a current station count from any canonical source. This is now a structural gap requiring a browser session, not a fetch.

MetricW33W34Δ
Germany public stations~50 (Jan 2026)COULD NOT RETRIEVE—
— 350-bar capable37 (2 only + 35 dual)COULD NOT RETRIEVE—
— 700-bar capable48 (35 dual + 13 only)COULD NOT RETRIEVE—
Germany openings since last edition00 confirmed (RVK Mechernich under construction, not yet open)0
Germany closures since last edition00 found0
Europe operational152 (Jan 2026 basis)COULD NOT RETRIEVE—
Spain public~2–3 of 11–20COULD NOT RETRIEVE—
Andalusia0COULD NOT RETRIEVE (0 presumed, unconfirmed)—
Every canonical source remains frozen or JS-only: h2stations.org (LBST/TÜV SÜD) still on 2023 data; EAFO's Q2 2026 figures render only inside an embedded Power BI widget; h2.live requires a live JS session. AFIR's 31 Dec 2026 review will run on data that is stale by construction — EAFO's next refresh lands 15 Jan 2027.

6 Electrolysers

The OEM order-book collapse deepened this week — thyssenkrupp nucera's green-H₂ intake fell to ~€3m for the quarter and the company exited in-house SOEC development.

tk nucera green H₂ orders
~€3m
Q3 FY25/26 · 9M €26m vs €356m py
tk nucera FY EBIT guidance
€-105m to -75m
cut · incl. €30m SOEC impairment
Plug Power Q2 revenue
$178m
+9% seq · margin near break-even
Global nameplate vs installed
~75GW vs ~4GW
factory utilisation ~10% (2023-vintage)

Technology status

AlkalinePEMSOECAEM
System efficiency55 kWh/kg (61% LHV)55 kWh/kg (61% LHV)47 kWh/kg total (71% LHV)~65–75% (secondary)
Stack lifetime60,000 h40,000 h20,000 h—
Min. turndown30% datasheet / ~50% practice10%thermal inertia—
System CAPEX (uninstalled)$500/kW$1,000/kW$2,500/kW$600–1,200/kW
Critical materialnickelIr 0.45g/kW + Pt 0.26g/kWYSZ / rare earthsPGM-free
Readinesscommercialcommercial2 major OEMs now retreating (Topsoe, tk nucera)pilot
Manufacturing: global nameplate capacity vs cumulative installed
GW. The 10% utilisation figure is 2023-vintage and needs re-sourcing — no fresher figure exists.

OEM order books this week

OEMSignalDetail
thyssenkrupp nuceradeterioratingGreen H₂ order intake ~€3m Q3; exits in-house SOEC stack dev.; backlog €638m (30 Jun)
Plug PowerimprovingQ2 revenue $178m (+9% seq), margin near break-even; FY guidance raised; 30MW Barrow Green FID
ITM PowerunclearFY2026 results scheduled 13 Aug — could not confirm publication
Nel ASAquietNo new order/factory news; CEO successor still unnamed
HydrogenProconsolidatingMothballs 500MW Tianjin plant; LONGi deal gives 1GW access, retains IP
Topsoeretreated (prior)Herning SOEC hibernated, 2nd US plant cancelled — background, unchanged

7 Water intake and climate-relevant screening

27 projects screened, standing dataset. The German UVP-Portal — the single highest-leverage fix for the ~80% German non-disclosure rate — yielded its first document in three editions this week.

Projects screened
27
standing dataset, unchanged count
Classifiable to taxonomy
59%
vs ~75% expected yield
NOT DISCLOSED
41%
vs ~25% expected — the headline gap
German UVP-Portal
1 doc retrieved
NEW · first success in 3 editions
Screened capacity by water source category
Share of the 27-project dataset by taxonomy category. NOT DISCLOSED is the largest single share.

Movement this week

ProjectCountryTaxm³/yrL/kgConfidence
Piedra Energía 2ES⑥3,000,000—verified — re-confirmed applicant
Cabezas Rubias H2ES③not disclosed—source confirmed, volume pending
Linde Leuna (5MW exp.)DE⑧not disclosed—filing located — first UVP success
Moeve CarteiaES②→⑤NOT DISCLOSED—inferred, notice unverified this week
Repsol CartagenaES④332,00022.1volume cross-confirmed, gazette pending
Iberdrola PuertollanoES⑧——re-confirmed genuinely undisclosed
Empirical anchors unchanged: RWE Lingen 24.5 L/kg (75% cooling) · Repsol Cartagena 22.1 L/kg · H2 La Joya 16.4 L/kg (18% cooling, dry/hybrid outlier). Two UVP-Portal documents identified but unfetched (rate-limited): RWE Lingen's actual water-withdrawal permit, and Bad Lauchstädt's UVP-Vorprüfung — bookmarked for next edition. Guadalquivir 20hm³/yr tender not re-checked this week — top research priority for W35.

8 The week's movements

9 Watchlist

DateWhatStatusWhy it matters
7 Sep 2026German Klimaschutzverträge round 2 closesunchanged€5bn budget, now admits CCU/CCS and industrial steam
8 Sep 2026EU consultation webinar on IF26 (auction 4) draft termsNEWPrecedes the formal call, still slated end-2026
Sep/Oct 2026Commission infringements packageunchangedGas & H2 Package deadline expired with no proceedings yet
30 Sep 2026CEF Energy €600m call closesunchangedH2Med's next funding window
Autumn 2026RFNBO delegated act reviewunchanged, re-confirmed slippingWorth ~€2/kg on Spanish green hydrogen
H2 2026Guadalquivir 20hm³/yr regenerated-water tender⚠ not re-checkedFirst hard ceiling on Andalusian water route — top W35 priority
Late Aug 2026Moeve Carteia allegation window (BOJA 143/2026)NEW, unverifiedMost exposed water permit in the Spanish set
Q4 2026New EU Hydrogen Strategy + auction 4 launchunchangedGrant caps now known: €175m/€150m per project
Q4 2026AFIR review proposals⚠ unchangedEAFO's next refresh lands after the review deadline
End 2026RVK Mechernich public refuelling siteNEWGenuine net-addition to Germany's shrinking network
End 2026First Andalusian HRS, Córdoba⚠ no update, 3rd editionDos Hermanas slip remains unresolved
Late 2027/28Proyecto Catalina FIDNEWUp to 2,000MW, could cover ~30% of Spain's current demand
End 2027The FID cliffsharpenedEIC: under 10% of 2030-target European projects at FID

— Caveats

No browser session was available this edition — the direct cause of the refuelling-station gap in §5. German/Spanish day-ahead power series rest on a single aggregator (Bloomberg parallel coverage blocked by robots.txt). The Australian hydrogen-hub cancellations rest on a single political source, unconfirmed by a neutral outlet. LCOH figures remain ACER (Jan–Oct 2025)/Platts (2 Oct 2025) vintage, unrevalidated for a third week. The BOJA 143/2026 notice for Moeve Carteia could not be directly verified this week. ITM Power's FY2026 results could not be confirmed as published.

Sources

Global

Prices

Spain and EU

Germany and refuelling

Electrolysers

Water